What’s Up With Execute Sports (Besides The Stock, That Is)?
I never thought I’d be saying this about a small cap stock pick we dropped months ago, but Execute Sports (EXCS) has my attention again. Something has clearly changed investor’s minds for the better the last few days….though I still have my doubts (a lot of them, actually).
Had it not been for the chart, I probably wouldn’t have even thought about it. But, EXCS’s high-volume gain from the 14th has stabilized around that day’s closing level. We haven’t seen this stock hold on to any gains in a long time, so the fact that we’re doing it now has piqued my interest.
The nice part about this particular move is how it’s being backed by good news. The surge from the 14th was prompted by the announcement that 114 Sugar Sands jet boats had been sold. On the 18th we learned the company would be getting some nice exposure in ‘Wakeboarding’ magazine. On the 19th they got an order for ten boats from a new Russian dealer….perhaps planting a seed in a budding location.
The burning question is obvious - is this evidence the company can finally get something going? They’ve tried aqua-sports, snowboards, motorcycle apparal, and others. Nothing seemed to work for them. Are boats (of all things) going to do the trick?
As it stands right now, my vote is no. I’ve been wrong before, but so has Execute Sports. Here’s why I’m hesitant to dig in too deep….
If you’re having deja vu all over again, it might be because you remember the name Sugar Sands when it was a property of another of our ill-fated small cap companies….Challenger Powerboats (CPBI). Challenger acquired Sugar Sands and Gekko brands in early 2007. They then proceeded to shrink the top lines of all three brands. A few months later they got rid of the Sugar Sands line by selling to you know who…Execute Sports.
Here’s my issue - if Sugar Sands was a winner, why did Challenger get rid of it? Challenger’s expertise was boats, while Execute’s expertise was extreme sport equipment and apparel. If anybody could take Sugar Sands to the next level, it was Challenger. The deal should have buried EXCS…and still may.
Like I said above, I’ve been wrong before. That’s why I wanted to bring it to your attention - EXCS may be worth a look. I think it would be a short-term look at best, but who knows? Maybe Execute can actually start increasing the pro-forma top line.
On that note, do be aware of their Q-O-Q comparisons. Execute has been touting some big revenue increases, but considering they bought a revenue-bearing property, they should be making what appears to be top line progress. Just be sure to look closely at the quarterly numbers to make a fair comparison.
Bottom line - I’m not convinced of EXCS’s potential yet, despite the recent pop. I want to see a few quarters of real improvement before I jump in again; this company has had too many problems in the past to ignore now. Anything’s possible though. Maybe Execute will finally deliver, but it’s still too soon to say with any confidence. That’s my only point for now.
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